Rehabilitation and Juvenile Justice Policy: A Mathematical Modeling Approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
Youth in the juvenile justice system have diverse needs and problems. Several potentially effective behavioral, rehabilitative interventions have been developed, and evaluations of those programs have been conducted. Little is known, however, about how those programs might be integrated into a juvenile justice system, and a range of system-level questions remain unanswered. Using the tools of operations research, this article presents a mathematical model of juvenile justice involvement and examines the impact on the dynamics of offending when effective mental health services are introduced. Our analyses reveal that such programs generate a modest reduction in juvenile justice involvement in a community. Our findings suggest that optimal policy is one where incarceration is used as little as possible. Low-risk offenders are best returned to their communities; high-risk offenders are detained only when space in mental health services is available.
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